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The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions
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The fraction of variance explained by each source of uncertainty
The uncertainty divided by the mean prediction (a noise-signal ratio)
The absolute uncertainty explained by each source of uncertainty
The absolute variance explained by each source of uncertainty
The signal-to-noise ratio of the mean projection
Move the slider to change the temporal meaning
Plot type selection:
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Fraction of total variance
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Fractional uncertainty
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Total uncertainty
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Total variance
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Signal-to-noise ratio
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Key:
Orange
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Internal variability.
Blue
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Model uncertainty.
Green
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Scenario uncertainty.
Black:
Total uncertainty.
Temporal mean:
yrs
Select region:
Global
Southern Hem.
Northern Hem.
Africa
N. America
S. America
Europe
Australia
Sahel
British Isles
Greenland
Antarctica
India
China
Amazon
(c) Hawkins & Sutton, 2009, BAMS